Display or banner, ads account for two-thirds of the market. And Yahoo is the leading force here with revenues upwards of Rs 100 crore, while MSN's revenues are estimated at Rs 25 crore. And search-related advertising (where advertisers pay to get ads inserted next to relevant search queries) is a Rs 50-crore market completely dominated by Google. Many feel this segment will mirror its rapid global growth. Search users and page views are not outpacing the market growth.However, revenues from search are slated to grow very fast.
The worry, and challenge, for Yahoo is that the online ad market is shifting from banners to performance-based advertising (where advertisers can measure the effectiveness of their campaigns based on the clicks they get). This is being driven by automated ad networks, which aggregate websites' inventory and serve them up to advertisers. It's here that Google has made rapid strides with its AdSense network—as well as its own properties like Gmail, Orkut and YouTube—to grab a little under half of the entire online ad pie. "The advertisers' journey begins with too much of Google...there's a stage when it's only Google."
What Yahoo has is lots of content and dominance in the e-mail and instant messenger (IM) spaces. Internet usage patterns in India are completely driven by such tools for communication, and a possible consolidation of e-mail boxes (IM is already interoperable) would have a big impact on other players like Rediff, Indiatimes and AOL. MSN too will gain as Hotmail has decent numbers, but has been losing active users. Hotmail has been steadily losing marketshare, while Gmail has moved up. But Yahoo has been maintaining its lead.
Then, in content, Yahoo has a loyal following for its cricket vertical, online games, photo-sharing site Flickr and has forayed into local languages, while MSN is strong in entertainment, travel, and is pushing video content.
Yahoo also the third-largest mobile content provider in India, a key edge in what is being seen as the future market for the Internet. Globally, both Microsoft and Google are in a furious race to develop mobile advertising and content platforms. In India, Microsoft has its Windows Live platform (with Vodafone), while Yahoo has tied up with Reliance for its OneSearch mobile engine. Last year, Google, signed up for a mobile search deal with Airtel. Says idc's Singh: "Mobile is the place where development would happen in the future. Since this space is still evolving, both Microsoft and Google have a headstart."
Yahoo & Microsoft lack an effective social networking platform to take on Google's Orkut. Microsoft has a small stake in new challenger Facebook.
But what the Yahoo & MSN really need is a cracker of a search engine—and that will be tough. "Google may not lose market share, but Microsoft may be able to protect its office products and software—this was entering into the danger zone with Google coming out with its own set of office products."
